Morgan Asset Management: Trump's economic policy is generally beneficial to the US economy to maintain the "overweight" rating on US stocks and credit. Sheng Nan, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that it is expected that the economic policy of US President-elect Trump will be generally beneficial to the local economy, but the implementation order of specific policies will also determine the growth trajectory in the next two years. Sheng Nan mentioned that Trump pays more attention to deregulation and measures to boost finance by extending tax cuts, which will improve business confidence, open capital markets and accelerate growth and return on assets. However, if the focus is on immigration and tariff policies, the interruption of labor supply or trade may have negative consequences, inhibit economic growth and lead to asset market fluctuations. Sheng Nan believes that despite the above uncertainties, the US economy is expected to grow strongly next year, and the local GDP will not slow down to 2% until the fourth quarter of next year, so he maintains the "overweight" rating on US stocks and credit.The Central Finger Research Institute: In November, the price of second-hand houses in Beijing narrowed by 0.17 percentage points from the previous month. On December 11th, the Central Finger Research Institute released a map of the price of second-hand houses in the top ten cities in November 2024, showing that in November 2024, 18,763 sets of second-hand houses were sold in Beijing, up 8% from the previous month and 49.6% from the same period last year. The cumulative turnover from January to November increased by 8.2% compared with the same period last year. In terms of price, in November, the price of second-hand housing in Beijing fell by 0.12% month-on-month, narrowing by 0.17 percentage points from the previous month.IG Group: The market liquidity problem leads to the widening of the spread between gold and silver. The financial institution IG Group: The higher spread between gold and silver is due to the disconnection between the spot market and the futures market, which leads to the liquidity provider (LP) greatly expanding the spread. In order to maintain the availability of the transaction, we adjusted the maximum spread accordingly. This is the problem of the whole market, not just the problem of IG Group.
At midday, the main contract of alumina futures opened lower, and now it is down nearly 3% to 5101 yuan/ton. In the news, according to Shanghai Nonferrous Metals, on December 10th, 30,000 tons of alumina was sold overseas, with a transaction price of $680/mt FOB Western Australia, and the shipping date was in late January/early February.Some state-owned banks received a notice from the meeting that the personal pension system is expected to be fully opened. On December 11, the reporter learned from people familiar with the matter that some state-owned banks have received a notice from the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security that a video conference on the full implementation of the personal pension system will be held in the middle of this month. By then, on the basis of the pilot experience in 36 cities or regions, the individual pension system is expected to be fully implemented throughout the country. "Open the gate after the meeting!" The above-mentioned person said. (21st century business herald)Wang Tao, UBS: It is expected that the Central Economic Work Conference will focus on the short-term policy package. Recently, the market highly expects the Central Economic Work Conference to guide the high-quality economic development of China next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research at UBS and chief China economist, said: "I expect that the Central Economic Work Conference may focus on the short-term policy package in 2025 and 2026, but it will also emphasize accelerating some reform measures already outlined at the Third Plenary Session." Wang Tao believes that the next important reform measures may include providing better protection and access for the private economy, deepening the reform of state-owned enterprises to improve efficiency and governance, promoting household registration reform to improve the welfare of migrant workers, strengthening the social security network, and carrying out fiscal and taxation reforms to solve local fiscal revenue problems. "I think structural, deeper and faster reforms will be very important, not only to attract foreign investment, but also to boost domestic confidence." (China Daily)
Black Myth: Wukong won seven nominations in the British Film Academy Award #, and BAFTA announced the list of nominated works for each award in 2024. The domestic masterpiece Black Myth: Wukong won seven nominations in terms of best game, artistic achievement, audio achievement, technical achievement, best score, best narrative and latest IP.Burger King China: In November this year, the number of passengers turned positive year-on-year, and the sales in October increased by about 5% month-on-month. On December 11th, the relevant person in charge of Burger King China told reporters, "Since the government issued a package of incremental policies at the end of September, many chain catering enterprises including Burger King have felt the stabilization and recovery of the catering consumption market since October this year. Especially in the past November, Burger King has achieved a positive year-on-year passenger flow. " The aforementioned person in charge pointed out, "From the sales data, in the past six years, our sales in October were almost the same as that in September. However, in October this year, the sales of Burger King China rebounded from September, increasing by about 5%. " (The Paper)A number of private placements are optimistic about the market at the end of the year, and the two major directions are favored. Recently, A-shares have fluctuated, and the latest strategies of a number of first-line private placements for investment at the end of the year and the beginning of the year have been released one after another. A number of private placements are optimistic about the market at the end of the year. Kou Zhiwei, a partner of chongyang investment, said that the "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" proposed by the policy at the end of the year inspired market confidence. At present, compared with the end of September, the market has a large increase, and the market has fully expected and priced the policy overweight. The further rise of the short-term market may need the support of strong economic recovery data. Lei, deputy general manager and chief strategic investment official of Xingshi Investment, said that the current positive factors in the stock market are still accumulating, and the fundamentals, policies and funds are all supported. Judging from the recent overall investment trends of private placement, the reporter found that maintaining medium and high positions and maintaining high flexibility of portfolios have become the strategic focus of current private placement institutions. Judging from the specific optimistic investment direction at the end of the year, according to the comprehensive interview with private equity, consumption and technology are relatively more popular at present. (CSI Taurus)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13